"When will the Methuselarity come?"
He answered quickly, "Twenty-five years from now, the Methuselarity has a fifty-fifty chance of occuring."
I was intrigued by what he meant by "50/50", "What do you mean by fifty-fifty? Do you mean that the Methuselarity may, or may not come at all?"
"Yes," he nodded "Methuselarity may or may not arrive in 25 years. Beyond that, I do not know.."
A cryptic answer i thought at first, but the "I don't know" part was a dead give-away: it's either a Singularitarian's escape or prophetic augury. It's both safe, and sound. Clever.
Twenty five years from now, if the Methuselarity doesn't come then no one can say that he was wrong. And yet, if it indeed arrives, then he might be hailed as a demigod of Immortality.
I've heard Kurzweil say exactly the same number. Twenty five years. The Singularity.
Is Methuselarity the other face of Singularity? Or the Unknown?
Links:
The End of Aging
And so does this mean that in *50* years the Methuselarity has a 100% chance of happening? ;) The problem is that many transhumanists, including myself, may not still be alive by that time. But that is our problem.
ReplyDeleteIt boggles the mind to think of the possible results, had just 1% of the money going into the war in the Mid-east, instead gone into anti-aging research! You can buy a great deal with 30 billion dollars...
John
possiblepaths2050@gmail.com